Proper planning in forex is a crucial requirement. Without doing so, your trades will be no different than trying to cross a bridge without railings in total darkness! To be able to plan well, you must understand which style of trading suits you. Before you start wondering which method of trading you want to attempt, it is most important that you know your style. Fast action : Short term trading Typical trading method scalping Probably suitable for people who hold trades spanning minutes have the time to stare at their trading screens are comfortable with take profit and stop loss sizes of around 10 pips are comfortable with the 1 - 5 minute charts Critical points to note for this style news and economic data releases may trigger spikes that may wipe off your positions start and end of market sessions may trigger spikes that may wipe off your positions low volume conditions may make it challenging to execute the trades precision is required when entering trades due to the small stop loss Moderate action : Medium term trading Typical trading methods range trading break out trading momentum trading Probably suitable for people who hold trades spanning hours occasionally check on their trading screen are comfortable to wait for hours for a suitable entry position are comfortable with take profit and stop loss sizes of around 50 - 100 pips are comfortable with the 15 - 60 minute charts Critical points to note for this style major news and economic data releases may trigger spikes that may wipe off your positions general knowledge of market sentiments is crucial to trade planning ( For example risk aversion ) knowledge of technical indicators such as support and resistance lines is required to fine tune the trades Moderate action : Long term trading Typical trading methods major support and resistance trading long term momentum trading fundamental trading Probably suitable for people who hold trades spanning days and weeks occasionally check on their trading screen are comfortable to wait for days for a suitable entry position are comfortable with take profit and stop loss sizes of around 100 or more pips are comfortable with the 4hour or longer charts Critical points to note for this style adverse news and economic data releases may trigger spikes that may wipe off your positions in-depth knowledge of market sentiments is crucial to trade planning ( For example risk aversion and upcoming possible interest rate hikes or reduction by central banks ) knowledge of technical indicators such as support and resistance lines is required to fine tune the trades Knowing the most suitable style of trading for yourself is crucial. It is the foundation of your forex trading journey and a strong foundation it must be for the best chances of success!
I just found out about this... But in a late of course :p
In September 2011 the world’s daily currency trading volume reached $5 trillion, as it was stated in addition to the annual global banking sector review released by the Bank for International Settlements (BIS). Thus, the previous historical maximum recorded in the beginning of the 2008-2009 Financial Crisis was exceeded. Having reached its high in September, the trading volume began to decrease rapidly. In October it dropped to $4.7 trillion and by the beginning of 2012 it decreased even more. Just before the collapse of Lehman Brothers in September 2008 the daily turnover on the world currency markets was $4.5 trillion but within only 6 months it shrank to $3 trillion. Since the mid 2009 the market activity began to restore. The rapid growth of the currency trading volumes took place in 2009 – 2011 due to the high liquidity of the market provoked by the central banks of the developed states, especially by the Federal Reserve System of the USA. The central banks of the developing countries in their turn are quite displeased by the large capital inflows as it leads to the inflow of the speculative capital and uncontrolled growth of their national currencies’ rates.
Basel III– The newest set of capital requirements for banks, which requires that institutions maintain a minimum Core Tier 1 Capital Ratio– equity as a percentage of risky assets – of 7 percent. The EBA has mandated that European banks achieve a ratio of 9 percent by June 2012. More…
BIS – Bank for International Settlements
A multinational organization that serves as a global forum for national central banks. Most notable for setting required minimum capital ratios. Also, the group that releases the most reliable FX market depth figures.
CDS – Credit Default Swap
An “insurance” instrument that compensates losses on bonds resulting from “credit events”, which could include default or restructuring. The ISDA (International Swaps and Derivatives Association) is the group that determines whether a ‘credit event’ has occurred, triggering payouts on CDS. On Mar. 9, the ISDA ruled that Greece’s recent debt-swap would trigger CDS payouts. More
IMF – International Monetary Fund
International Monetary Fund – a multinational organization that pools funds from member states for use in assisting countries in financial distress. Currently contributing – jointly with the European Union – to the rescue packages for Greece, Ireland, and Portugal. The size of its contribution to the most recent bailout package for Greece is currently under discussion.
Monetary rule used – officially or unofficially – by most major central banks. Under the rule, the central bank would commit to a target inflation rate, thus influencing expectations about inflation and interest rates. Most recently in 2012, the BoJ introduced inflation targets (currently set at 1 percent). Typically, there is a second mandate for monetary policy in some growth measure – in the US, it is unemployment.
OIS Rate – Overnight Index Swap Rate
Reflects market expectations of what a certain interest-rate will average over a given period. Useful for gauging expectations of central bank interest-rate policy. For example, if OIS rates are lower than the current central bank rate, this means markets expect the central bank to lower rates in the future.
FOMC –Federal Open Market Committee
The body within the Fed (headed by Chairman Ben Bernanke) which sets monetary policy – including the interest-rate target – for the US. Often used interchangeably with ‘The Fed’ when used in commentary and media.
CAC – Collective Action Clause
Approved by Greece in February, these clauses allow the country to force all holders of bonds subject to Greek law to participate in the debt swap. On Mar. 9, Greece announced that it would activate the CACs to force 95.7 percent of creditors to swap their bonds. This move will trigger payouts on CDS contracts, according to the ISDA. More
EBA – European Banking Authority
European financial regulatory body that conducted two rounds of stress tests on European banks in 2011 and mandated that institutions meet a minimum capital ratio of 9 percent by June of 2012. Has the potential to put significant stress on the European banking system as it encourages hording of cash rather than lending. More
EFSF – European Financial Stability Facility
The EU’s temporary bailout fund set up in mid-2010 with a total “firepower” of 440 billion Euros, backed by guarantees from Eurozone governments. Has already committed funds to bailouts of Greece, Ireland, and Portugal. More
ESM – European Stability Mechanism
The EU’s permanent bailout fund with a total “firepower” of 500 billion Euros, to come into effect in July 2012. Discussions are currently ongoing about whether to expand the ESM’s capacity and whether to combine it with funds remaining in the EFSF. More
Proposal that Eurozone countries would jointly issue bonds and would be jointly liable for their repayment. Join issuance was expected to boost market confidence and lower yields, but Germany remains firmly opposed to the idea.
IIF – Institute of International Finance
Group representing more than 400 financial institutions which represented Greece’s private-sector creditors in negotiations over the country’s 100-billion Euro debt swap.
LTRO – Longer-Term Refinancing Operation
Refers to the two rounds of 3-year loans the ECB offered European banks at an interest rate of 1 percent (there was a similar program for 3-month funds alongside each 36-month effort). The first round for three-year funds drew 489 billion euros from 523 banks on December 21, 2011. At the latest round on February 29, 2012, 800 banks borrowed a total of 530 billion Euro from the facility. The LTROs helped improve market confidence in Europe and lower yields on Italian and Spanish bonds. More
NPV Loss on Greek Bonds
Under the Greek debt-swap, creditors would take a nominal loss of 53.5 percent. However, due to the lower interest rates and longer maturities of the new Greek bonds, creditors would take an actual NPV (“net present value”) loss of over 70 percent over the life of the new debt.
PSI – Private Sector Involvement
A central demand of leading European politicians in the Greek rescue effort, the PSI refers to private-sector creditors taking losses (or haircuts) on their debt holdings. The proposal was reportedly accepted by holders of approximately 85.8 percent of privately held bonds.
SMP – Securities Markets Programme
The SMP allowed for the ECB to purchase government bonds of the peripheral Eurozone countries – though details of purchases (such as country) are withheld. Given improved market conditions and Greece’s debt swap, an indefinite suspension of the program is under discussion. That said, additional purchases under this program could be treated as a distinct signal of regional financial deterioration.
SPIV – Special-Purpose Investment Vehicle
First proposed at the Oct. 26, 2011 EU summit, an SPIV would pool resources from Eurozone countries as well as foreign investors to support prices on European sovereign bonds. The idea has received a lukewarm reaction from China and other emerging markets and has since been on hold.
Designation for the IMF, European Commission, and ECB, which jointly evaluate the progress of Eurozone bailout recipient countries’ progress in implementing austerity measures. They are also responsible for approving bailout payments to those countries. More
APF – Asset Purchase Facility
The BoE’s quantitative easing program. Launched in Jan. 2009, the APF allows the BoE to purchase commercial paper, corporate bonds, and asset-backed securities. At its February policy meeting, the MPC increased the APF’s scope by 50 billion Pounds to 325 Billion Pounds. Also commonly referred to as the ‘bond purchasing program’ in the media. More
MPC – Monetary Policy Committee
The decision-making body of the BoE, which sets UK monetary policy. The MPC is currently headed by BoE Governor Meryvn King. The BoE and MPC are terms that are often used interchangeably.
OBR – Office for Budget Responsibility
Independent body established in 2010 to monitor the UK government’s progress in implementing its deficit-reduction plan and evaluate its effects on economic growth. With the UK economy exhibiting slow growth and unemployment at the highest in over a decade, there is ongoing debate about whether deficit-reduction should take precedence over stimulus.
APP –Asset Purchase Program
Launched by the BoJ in Oct. 2010 as a vehicle to purchase Japanese government bonds, corporate bonds, and real-estate investment trusts. Intended to stimulate growth and combat Japan’s perennial deflation, the BoJ most recently expanded the APP by 10 trillion Yen on Feb. 14. The program amplified a yen selloff that began with the month and subsequently drove USDJPY to multi-month highs.
Securities Lending Facility, Special Earthquake Reconstruction Lending Facility
Other major ongoing BoJ liquidity programs meant to spur economic growth.
Exchange rate floor
In response to the strong appreciation of the Swiss Franc on Eurozone concerns, the SNB set a floor of 1.20 Francs / Euro in Sept. 2011, pledging to purchase an “unlimited amount” of foreign currency to defend the rate. Speculation remains that the SNB could raise the floor to further weaken the Franc. So far, this program has worked in that the exchange rate has neither tested or moved below the floor. More
Negative interest rates
Another proposed solution to the threat of deflation would see banks charge savers to deposit funds in their accounts. So far, the idea has gained little traction and Swiss lawmakers voted against it in December.
Another one of the SNB’s measures has been expanding sight deposits; the latest move raised them to 200 billion Francs. These are deposits that commercial banks hold at the SNB that could be transferred and converted to cash without restriction.
RRR – Reserve requirement ratio
One of China’s main monetary-policy tools, the RRR governs the percentage of deposits that banks must hold at the PBoC rather than lend out. A higher RRR means tighter policy. China has lowered the RRR by 100 bps since November on slower inflation and signs of a slowing economy and is expected to cut it further. More
1-year lending/deposit rate
These benchmark rates are China’s other tool for conducting monetary policy, besides the RRR. It is argued that these are more effective at curbing inflation and they have also shown greater spillover effects for the capital markets.