Here Some Forex Educational Vidoes For You!!!

HOW MARKETS WORK
Topic : Introducing of currency markets, bonds markets, Stock markets and Commodities Markets.

http://www.gnutrade.com/education-how-markets-work

TRADING BASIC
Topic : Introducing of how to make orders.
http://www.gnutrade.com/education-trading-basics

RISK MANAGEMENT
Topic : Introducing, volatily, diserfications

http://www.gnutrade.com/education-risk-management

CREATING TRADING PLAN FOR THE FOREX MARKET
Topic : having a solid understanding of what moves prices in the currency world.
http://www.fileserve.com/file/DUhDHZ...rex.market.rar

CANDLESTICK STOP LOSS TECHNIQUES
Topic : Cut your losses short and run profit.
http://www.4shared.com/get/ir4B8PiA/..._Techniqu.html

(REALITY TV) WALLSTREET WARRIORS part 1
Topic : Capitalism Rule
http://www.filebump.com/opkyqmluflr6...Rules.avi.html

(REALITY TV) WALLSTREET WARRIORS part 2
Topic : Closing The Deal
http://www.filebump.com/xynwlxfjwf10..._Deal.avi.html

(REALITY TV) WALLSTREET WARRIORS part 3
Topic : From Robes to Riches
http://www.filebump.com/0bcazy7jfub1...iches.avi.html

(REALITY TV) WALLSTREET WARRIORS part 4
Topic : Work Hard - Play Hard
http://www.filebump.com/0sttkuue2k2j...arder.avi.html

(REALITY TV) WALLSTREET WARRIORS part 5
Topic : Written In the Stars
http://www.filebump.com/0on5v6vd2rfh...Stars.avi.html

(REALITY TV) WALLSTREET WARRIORS part 6
Topic : Size Does Matter
http://www.filebump.com/o8dgib17smxd...atter.avi.html

(REALITY TV) WALLSTREET WARRIORS part 7
Topic : Holding Pattern
http://www.filebump.com/nf6jjhgujrei...ositv.avi.html

(REALITY TV) WALLSTREET WARRIORS part 8
Topic : The Hate Index
http://www.filebump.com/ryvp1kf05tl1...ositv.avi.html

(REALITY TV) WALLSTREET WARRIORS part 9
Topic : The Spread
http://www.filebump.com/sgo1ev9vxd0e...ositv.avi.html

(REALITY TV) WALLSTREET WARRIORS part 10
Topic : The Open Out Cry
http://www.filebump.com/lgthcx745r3c...ositv.avi.html

(REALITY TV) WALLSTREET WARRIORS part 11
Topic : Downside Up
http://www.filebump.com/8t04f0724dt0...ositv.avi.html

(REALITY TV) WALLSTREET WARRIORS part 12
Topic : The Squeeze
http://www.filebump.com/rjd06yuunuz4...ositv.avi.html

(REALITY TV) WALLSTREET WARRIORS part 13
Topic : Distance Indicators
http://www.filebump.com/3qkwxtuhwnmi...ositv.avi.html

(REALITY TV) WALLSTREET WARRIORS part 14
Topic : Bulls Bears and Whales
http://www.filebump.com/229cz5yg9yhu...ositv.avi.html

(REALITY TV) WALLSTREET WARRIORS part 15
Topic : Survivors Alogarith
http://www.filebump.com/iigsm8czfjnp...ositv.avi.html

METATRADER
-How to use metatrader from basic to advance
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b3Er9...layer_embedded

HOW TO INSTAL METATRADER

http://www.ziddu.com/download/109999...rader.wmv.html

HOW TO OPEN DEMO ACCOUNT ON METATRADER 4

http://www.ziddu.com/download/109999...rader.wmv.html

INTERFACE OF METATRADER 4

http://www.ziddu.com/download/110000...rader.wmv.html

CHARTING METATRADER 4 (use chart on metatrader)

http://www.ziddu.com/download/110001...rader.wmv.html

RUNING PRICE ON METATRADER 4

http://www.ziddu.com/download/110001...rader.wmv.html

NAVIGATION OF METATRADER 4

http://www.ziddu.com/download/110001...rader.wmv.html

USE INDICATORS ON METATRADER 4

http://www.ziddu.com/download/110003...rader.wmv.html

HOW TO INSTALL INDICATORS ON METATRADER 4

http://www.ziddu.com/download/110021...rader.wmv.html

WHAT IS METATRADER 4
http://www.ziddu.com/download/110022...rader.wmv.html

HOW TO MAKE OPEN POSISITION BUY/SELL ON METATRADER 4

http://www.ziddu.com/download/110023...ySell.wmv.html

HOW TO PUT USE STOP LOSS AND TAKE PROFIT ON METATRADER 4.

http://www.ziddu.com/download/110054...rofit.wmv.html

HOW TO ACTIVE AND UNACTIVE EA ON METATRADER 4

http://www.ziddu.com/download/110064...Robot.wmv.html

FOREX EDUCATION NEWS TRADING

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ADnsv...eature=related

NEWS AFTER SPIKE STRATEGY

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AUg_E...eature=related

HOW TO TRADING WITH STOCHASTICK INDICATOR

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5_vQIa5MrqY

HOW TO MAKE MONEY WITH PRICE ACTION

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kMq-f...eature=related

THE BEST FOREX PRICE ACTION PATTERNS

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h3Gqu...eature=related

FOREX PRICE ACTION METHODS AND STRATEGIES

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YUiEi...eature=related

NIAL FULLER PRICE ACTION STRATEGY

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MNYVT...eature=related

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History Made!!!




The Swiss franc fell sharply during European trading Tuesday after the Swiss National Bank took drastic action to weaken the super-strong currency, saying it will not allow the euro to fall below 1.2 francs......

Almost 950 pips bulled in just 15 minutes and 1200 pips in one day... This is a historical movement guys... No pair ever done this before... We are lucky that we saw this in our lifetime... Be trade and Happy Pipping...!!!

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Weird Day!!!

I think this is a day to be very careful indeed. Risk aversion is in full flow and it’s Friday. To add to the confusion, we have the possibility of more BOJ intervention. The AUD has been smashed and the USD has bounced, but then there’s the NFP later tonight. All up sounds like it should be volatile so keep positions small and manageable.

Good luck today

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Heavy Burden Day!!!


Today I suffered a lot... First I am In fasting and our electricity was horrible today... And weather is too hot to tell... Yet forex gave me some cool breeze, thats a relief... Look like I am finally getting my hands on long trade...

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Ramadan Mubarak To All!!!


Wishing you one month of ramdan,
4 weeks of barkat,
30 days of forgiveness,
720 hours of guidance,
43200 minutes of purification,
2592000 seconds of noor.
Happy Ramadan....!!!


Trade: Short EUR/USD @ 1.4400.. Take Profit @ 1.4209.. Total +191 pips profit..Yummy!!!

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Going Down and Down!!!


The spot rate is currently testing the lower limit of its medium-term bullish channel in 1.4330 suggesting a rebound. However a break of these levels would initiate a new trend.
According to previous events, the market indicates a bullish opportunity on the levels of 1.4330 with a 1st objective of 1.4440, then 1.4470. A break in 1.4300 would invalidate this scenario.

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All Short!!!



Wow... Many trade, No Loss... Just a demonstration on Bonus Money... I short EUR/USD and all of them gave me Green Pips!!!... Yummy!!!

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Something For Share...

I am uploading a funny video... its about trading so you guys will not be bored... Watch this and let me know you like it or not

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Hmmmmmm!!!




Bad EU..Bad EU... What you gonna do...Baby... What you gonna do?

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A Good Start!!!


I think this is a good start for this week.. I think in my Lailatul Barat, My Barat is smiling upon me... Just Kidding... I wish Everyone a prosperous year.. May Our life be filled with so many PIPS!!! Amin :)

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Happy Bearish Day To All!!!


Sorry for not updating my trade results... I am really busy with my trading these days.. Still I need to learn a lot about forex... Here Is my latest trading results... After a long time I scored more than 100pips without any loss... yippy!!!

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EUR/USD Going Down!!!


If EU dont break these channels then I think it will go down for sure....!!!

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First Forex Seminar In Bangladesh!!!

HotForex came to Bangladesh and arranged a seminar in last Friday... I visited there for learning something new.. Yet it is not as good as I expected but not bad also... I rock there like I rock everywhere... I dont wanna miss the first seminar arranged by any foreign forex broker...and the good thing is, they told me that they are gonna open a office in my country... It is good to know that, forex brokers are noticing Bangladesh!!!


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July 05, 2011 Analysis


EUR/USD - The pair finished the session little changed owing to US Independence day which meant that trade volumes were well below average. In terms of EU related commentary, following last week’s passage of austerity program by Greek parliament, this weekend EU finance ministers agreed to release the next bailout instalment for Greece. Elsewhere, S&P said that the French proposal for a voluntary roll over of Greek debt by French and German banks would result in a selected default rating (SD) raring for Greece. However it remains to be seen whether the International Swaps and Derivatives Association (ISDA) will brand the debt roller as one that triggers CDS. Going forward, attention will remain firmly on the upcoming ECB monetary policy meeting where the central bank is widely expected to raise interest rates by a further 25bps.

GBP/USD - Despite an inline reading for the latest UK Construction PMI data, together with reports of a UK clearer selling GBP/USD, the pair finished the session in minor positive territory. Going forward, investors will be speculating whether the BoE will in fact raise interest rate off record lows later in the week. However, given that the recent minutes indicated that BoE’s Fisher hinted that another round of Quantitative Easing (QE) may be required if inflation which is expected to subside in the H2, accelerates and falls below the mandated levels. In the mean time, market participants will get to digest Services PMI, as well as Official Reserves on Tuesday.

USD/JPY - The price action remained range bound throughout the session, settling just below the psychologically important 81.00 level. In terms of Japanese economy related news, Nikkei reported that the BoJ is likely to upgrade its view of output and the economy this month, noting progress in restoring supply chains and expected improvement in business sentiment in months ahead.

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Weekly Fundamentals!@!!


Hey there... Looks like a lot of news going to release in the next week... And Dont forget about Unemployment and NFP News... Let rock this weekend with plenty of green pips!!!

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EURUSD Weekly Summary

The EURUSD had a bullish momentum this week and now struggling around the upper line of my triangle formation as you can see on my daily chart below. Price is now in a critical technical point. My overall intraday bias is now bullish. A clear break above the triangle and 1.4550 resistance area could trigger further bullish scenario at least testing 1.4695 region. On the downside, immediate support is seen around 1.4450 – 1.4400. A failure to make a break above the triangle and clear break below that support area would keep my medium term outlook unclear and give another chance for another downside attempt testing 1.4320 even the lower line of the triangle.


Have a great weekend and see you guys next week.

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Going For A Fresh Start From Tomorrow!!!

I am going to retake my life back.. I was a legend in my previous life... But now it seems like everyone forget about me.. I am going to change my current life a little.. Going to visit the memory I left alone... Sometimes you need to look back to go ahead... This is what I stand for and this is what I believe... If you dont stand for something then.. You'll fall for anything... I know you guys thinking what the hell I am saying but try to bear with it... Forex is not the precious thing in our life..Its life what is the most valuable asset a man can get... So I am going re-arrange my life a little bit... But for you folks... Analyze this!!!

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New Offers For All!!!

From Now On, I will post analysis about most of the major pairs... SO Enjoy!!!

GBP/USD
Res: 1.6004/1.6045/1.6109(22)
Sup: 1.5975/1.5919/1.5880
After a roller coaster ride Cable turned out with a high wave doji while daily indicators underscore the indecision as macd’s continue to drop while stochastic comes off oversold levels. Note we have prices also well-off their EMA lines. From the 4H picture we have more signs of indecision as attempts to trigger a double bottom failed with macd rising and stochastic seeing a new bear cross. Hourly indicators are of little help with macd’s flat and stochastic seeing a new bullish cross over. We are in a no trade zone with the mixed indicators suggesting we adopt no bias. A close above 1.6004 along with good news should have us looking for a bounce to 1.6045 then on to the 21D EMA 1.6141. A break of 1.5975 with poor results should see a sell-off to 1.5919.

AUD/USD
Res: 1.0551/1.0571(89)/1.0604
Sup: 1.0506/1.0477/1.0424
Following a break of the 1.0477 region we saw AUDUSD Tuesday spiking up for a follow through to the previous day’s hammer. We have daily indicators suggesting further gains with stochastic rising and macd bottoming out, note however we face a series of strong resistances in a limited price range. Intraday we have a confluence of buys with the stochastic in both hourly and 4H levels pushing further into overbought areas while macd’s rise. Immediate risk calls for furthers gains though we face a series of strong resistances, as such we prefer remaining sidelined an hourly close above 1.604 will see us bullish or a bounce off 1.0506 could be a buy for a test of the 1.0571(89) region.

EUR/USD
Res: 1.4422/1.4497/1.4550
Sup: 1.4327(37)/1.4259/1.4186
Tuesday’s rally saw EURUSD closing above the daily EMA lines while indicators show the macd with a new bullish cross over and stochastic heading for overbought levels. Note daily charts are forming a double bottom with its trigger at 1.4442. Intraday we are seeing mixed signals from the 4H picture with stochastic showing a bearish divergence while macd is still rising. Hourly indicators show a confluence of bears with stochastic dropping and macd seeing a new bear cross. Note today we will be seeing the vote over Greek austerity, already we have a bearish intraday technical bias. A break of the 1.4327(37) region coupled by a failure to pass the austerity measures would suggest a big bear market for 1.4259 then 1.4186.

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Better than yesterday...!


Looks like I am losing my touch.. And some word from a wise man... Never buy Dollar :p

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Bad! Bad!! Bad!!!



Trade: This is a bad trading day for me.. Just cant figured out any good position today... And I heard some great words today: New U.S. economic indicators showed the good turning bad--and the bad turning worse...!!!

Analysis: New U.S. economic indicators showed the good turning bad--and the bad turning worse--Tuesday, giving the dollar nowhere to go but down.

"The current soft patch in U.S. data appears to be dampening appetite for the U.S. dollar," said Michael Woolfolk, senior currency strategist at BNY Mellon in New York.

U.S. consumers--whose spending has keyed growth at home and abroad since the recession--are becoming more cautious. U.S. consumer confidence fell steeply in May--down to 60.8 from a revised 66.0 and expectations of 66.4--on pessimism about job prospects and future incomes.

Meanwhile, the dismal housing sector showed signs getting worse--and even a double-dip. The S&P Case-Shiller Index of home prices tumbled 4.2% in the first quarter, a new recession low, after falling 3.6% in the prior quarter.

Adding to the bleak economic data: a survey of Chicago-area purchasing managers fell to a 1 1/2-year low in May.

Investors now weigh "just how extensive is this [U.S.] slowdown?"-- said Alan Ruskin, global head of G-10 foreign exchange strategy at Deutsche Bank in New York. The answer determines how much to bid up the dollar versus the ultra-safe haven Japanese currency--and how much to bid up growth-sensitive currencies like the euro especially, he added.

Weaker-than-expected U.S. figures add weight to the idea that global growth as a whole is slowing, but that didn't stop investors from sending higher-yielding currencies, such as the euro and New Zealand dollar, up sharply against the dollar.

Before moderating some of its gains, the euro hit a three-week high against the dollar. The common currency got a boost from a report in The Wall Street Journal that said Germany is considering dropping its push for a rescheduling of Greek bonds.

That eased--for now--concerns over smoldering issues of sovereign debt.

Late Tuesday, the euro was at $1.4395 from $1.4282 late Monday, according to EBS via CQG. The dollar was at Y81.52 from Y80.94, while the euro was at Y117.31 from Y115.53. The U.K. pound was at $1.6451 from $1.6463. The dollar was at CHF0.8538 from CHF0.8521.

The ICE Dollar Index, which tracks the U.S. dollar against a basket of currencies, was at about 74.604 from about 74.958.

"Regardless of what the underlying fundamentals for current themes, such as the global growth soft patch or the euro zone sovereign crisis, are, it appears that investors are still willing to bet that risk will find support," said Geoffrey Yu, currency strategist at UBS in London.

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Analysis For This Week ( 31-05-2011)

Last week demonstrated diverse trading dynamics of the major currencies. Concerns over the possible reduction of the credit rating of Italy by Standard & Poor’s credit agency, pressured the euro on Monday. Reduction of the credit rating of Greece continued to have a negative influence on the euro as well. European budget crises pushed investors’ optimism lower. During the elections to local authorities, that just took place in Spain, the opposition People’s Party received most of the votes, which rendered additional pressure on the euro. Released on the same day European PMI indices turned out to be below the forecasts and lower previous month’s levels. For example, the Euro-zone PMI (composite) index was 55.4 against expected 57.3. The EUR/USD pair dropped to the $1.4060 minimums. European trading session showed minimums of $1.3970. The GBP/USD pair dropped to the $1.6110 level.
The euro started its growth during the Asian trading session on Tuesday and reached the $1.4060 mark. After the release of the European statistics on Tuesday, the euro continued its growth. German IFO – Business Climate, Current Assessment and Expectations for May turned out to be above expectations. As a result, expectations for the increase of the Euro-zone principal rate reinforced. According to the experts’ expectations, the European budget crises would reinforce and return to the focus of the market very soon.
Publication of the UK weak fundamentals on Tuesday pressured the sterling. Increase of the Public sector net borrowing volume had a negative impact on the national currency. But major pressure came from the statement of the Moody’s credit agency about the decrease of the credit ratings of the number of British banks. At the same time the CBI Reported sales happened to be above forecasts: 18 against expected 11. Therefore, the GBP/USD grew to the $1.6180 level.
Greenback was pressured during the American session after the release of the negative Richmond Fed Manufacturing index, which dropped to -6 against the positive forecast of 9. As a result, the EUR/USD pair grew and reached the $1,4130 maximum and the GBP/USD pair reached the $1,6200 mark.
Uncertainty and lack of consensus with the Greek budget problems pressured the euro on Wednesday. The EUR/USD pair showed minimums at the $1.4000 level. Later on the euro managed to strengthen and reach the $1.4070. Swiss frank set a new historical maximum against the euro on Wednesday. Concerns regarding the possible slow-down of the economic rehabilitation of the region as a result of the European debt crises, pressured the euro. At the same time, possibility of the principal rates increase by the Central bank of Switzerland, supported the national currency. The GBP/USD pair decreased to the minimums of $1.6130 during the Asian trading session on the same day. The released UK GDP data turned out to be at the expected level. The quarterly GDP demonstrated the 0.5% level, the yearly GDP showed 1.8% level. The GBP/USD pair grew above the $1.6200 maximums.
Euro managed to grow against the US dollar on Thursday and kept its reached positions. The head of the ECB, Jean-Claude Trichet, supported the euro by his statement, that the ECB is watching the inflations closely, which reinforced the speculations that the interest rates could be increased. In the morning the euro was supported by the possibility that China was going to increase its volume of purchases of European countries’ bonds. Therefore, the positive expectations for the rehabilitation of the Euro-zone budget crises increased. The EUR/USD pair reached maximums of $1.4190 mark.
The Australian dollar rate strengthened on the same day against its competitors after the release of the Private capital expenditures in the first quarter in Australia. This indicator grew for 3.4% against the expected increase for 2.7%.
Greenback decreased against the yen and the Swiss frank after the release of the weak US fundamentals during the second part of the day on Thursday. The Annualized GDP dropped below expectations and the Initial jobless claims grew above forecasts.
On Friday greenback demonstrated its negative move against all major currencies. The released on that day American consumer expenditures growth turned out to be below expectations. As a result, possibility of the interest rates increase in the US dropped.

Happy trading!


Trade: Just a warm-up in this ranging market...

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Thursday Trading Result


Hey there... this is my Earning Results for May 26... Not as good as I always did.. But not bad also... I missed the 150pips down yesterday :(... I was not on my pc on that time...What a bad luck

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Mental Day Results...


Really today I work like a freak... Ooffhhhhhh... I can only manage to open four trade.. at least they all give me profit...thats a relief... Today I slept at 11 am and woke up at 5pm... Crazy right... If I keep working like this then soon I need a book a seat in Mental Hospital!!!

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Todays Result


Not as good as yesterday but hey I am still in profit.. So why should I care...Right!!!
Looks like this week gonna be a good one too... Lets hope so :p

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Sorry For Not Being Here...

I was really busy with my trading these days... I need to set up something new... So I did not have time to spend here.. but from now on I will be posting everyday...promise... So this is my trading results for today... Not a bad start of this week...:p

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Weekly Analysis (20-03-11)

Eurozone leaders had reached an in principle agreement on a pact for the Euro to coordinate economic policies. In talks is the establishment of the new European Stability Mechanism. This would probably spark increased optimism as the markets hopes for a stabilized Euro Zone. Having said so, concerns probably lingered as there are still various troubled countries of the Euro Zone. Greece, Ireland, Portugal and even Spain whose ratings were cut by Moody's recently.

In the beginning of the week, a forex gap deds the end of the week, positive US economic data probably brought increased risk appetite to the currency markets. Furthermore the European Central Bank Presideveloped. This was probably due to the change of expectations towards the Euro Zone after the mainly successful Euro Zone leaders summit. 1.4 was tested again.
Next the German ZEW Economic Sentiment came out lower than expected and this brought the EURUSD under 1.39. Furthermore the Japanese Earthquake also brought a wave of risk aversion across the markets. Equities were heavily affected. Soon the Yen started to climb in value as the possible shift of funds home by Japanese corporations to aid in the recovery sparked demand for Yen.
Towarnt Mr Trichet suggested that the ECB still intents to raise the interest rates next month as he was reported as saying that despite the current factors affecting the markets, he had nothing to add or remove in terms of his views. This definitely sparked increased speculation by currency traders on an Euro interest rate hike and the EUR/USD closed nearly at 1.42
It was reported that China ordered banks to put aside more cash for the third time in 2011. Increasing the reserve ratio is an action meant to combat the inflation threat. Unrealistic housing and food price increases are a potential economic and social problem. While most investors are probably numb by now, a number of them will probably still worry about the potential effects to the global economic recovery as China is a major economic power.
Another observation to this action would be that the Japanese earthquake crisis seems to be rather inconsequential towards the decisions and policies of other countries. This may be an indication that the inflation risk is more critical.
The increase in Yen value, an aftermath of the earthquake, threatens to bring the country's export industry to an uncompetitive level. This may be a major problem. The Group of Seven G-7 countries jointly intervened to sell the Yen in hopes of bringing the value down. It is apparently working for now as Yen returns above 80.
***
From a technical point of view, we remain in a bullish trend. While the 1.42 line is probably a strong resistance, close monitoring must be done as speculations of an interest rate hike for the Euro continues to fuel the bull machine.
Among the usual important economic releases next week, brings us the EU Economic Summit. Be on a lookout for unexpected developments.

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Why the Dollar's Reign Is Near an End

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Investors Are Seeking Safety in New Harbors

For years, whenever significant political or financial turmoil reared its head anywhere on the globe, investors would turn to the U.S. dollar as a safe haven.

Yet as the chaos in North Africa has grown over the past month, investors have largely shunned the dollar and sought shelter elsewhere. They have turned to other traditional islands of stability, buying Japanese yen and the Swiss franc.


Investors have preferred the yen to the dollar despite Japan's ills.




What has especially raised eyebrows has been the move by investors to buy euros, a currency traditionally seen as a riskier prospect than the dollar, especially with the euro zone's debt problems still largely unresolved.

This has sparked a debate over whether the dollar has lost its safe-haven status.

"Over the last 20 years, people have always moved into the dollar on any sort of uncertainty in the global economic space, but what we've seen over the past two weeks is actually a terrific move out of the dollar," says Douglas Borthwick, a managing director at Faros Trading in Stamford, Conn.

That, he says, reflects the emergence of a lack of confidence in the dollar as a safe place to stash money in times of trouble, thanks in part to concerns about rising government budget deficits in the U.S.

Some say it reflects a broader move in global financial markets where, very slowly, the dollar is facing competition from other currencies as a reserve currency.

Others see the lack of dollar buying as reflecting the specifics of the turmoil that started in Tunisia in late January and has spread over the past month. The inflationary impact of rising oil prices is seen as tilting the odds more in favor of interest-rate increases in Europe. In the U.S., the Federal Reserve has said it still believes core inflation is contained, despite rising energy prices.

So for now, the argument goes, there are better safe havens available to investors than the U.S. currency.

"Safe-haven buying is very dependent on the exact nature of the shock," says Jeff Young, head of North American foreign-exchange research at Barclays Capital. "If it's a shock that triggers risk aversion, but the underlying cost is going to hurt the U.S. disproportionately more than Switzerland, you wouldn't expect the dollar to be on the list of safe havens."



Since Jan. 24, the day before protests began in Egypt that would ultimately topple its government, the dollar has lost ground against the currencies of every one of so-called G-10 industrialized nations except the New Zealand dollar, which has suffered in the wake of last week's earthquake.

The euro, in particular, has gained 1.2% against the dollar and traded at $1.3799 late Monday afternoon in New York. The Swiss franc, meanwhile, has risen 2% against the dollar and the Japanese yen has gained 0.7%.

Even on individual days when events have sent a scare through the financial markets, the dollar hasn't benefited.

When the protests in Egypt first flared up, the euro advanced more than two cents to almost $1.39. This contrasts with other episodes of flight-to-safety currency buying in the past. During the 2008 global financial crisis, the dollar rose by roughly 2.

Analysts at BCA Research also point out that some investors also are looking to gold as a more appealing safe-haven investment.

"We would agree with this assessment," the analysts wrote. Gold rose 5.7% in February, its biggest monthly gain since April 2010.

When it comes to the buying of euros, many strategists point to the idea that the jump in oil prices over the past few weeks has increased conviction among investors that the European Central Bank will be more likely to raise interest rates before the year is out.


However, the Federal Reserve is widely seen as not viewing higher oil prices as an inflation risk and thus not tightening monetary policy until 2012.

Some note that Japan's economy also is in the doldrums and the country imports essentially all its oil.

Yet buyers continued to seek out the yen as a safe haven. Investors aren't concerned about Japan's own fiscal problems and loose monetary policy.

Mr. Borthwick at Faros says that focus on oil misses the point of flight-to-quality buying, which is that investors are thinking first and foremost of moving their money somewhere safe where they can be sure they will get it back.

With investors increasingly wary of the ability of the U.S. to solve its fiscal problems and the Fed perceived to be "printing dollars" as part of its quantitative-easing strategy to support the economy, there's less confidence that the U.S. dollar is "safe" in the sense, Mr. Borthwick says.

"It's the knee-jerk reaction that matters," he said. "Nowadays the knee-jerk reaction is buy euros and not to buy dollars. The mindset of buying euros is a complete switch.

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Oil Price Activity Tells Us What Fear Looks Like

The oil market dominated headlines and financial market activity yesterday after WTI crude oil touched $100 per barrel for the first time since September 2008. A similar bullish sentiment gripped the Brent market, which touched more than $119 per barrel earlier in the European session. The fundamental driver is uncertainty in North Africa. Investors are worried that the political uprisings in Egypt, Tunisia, and the violence that has broken out in Libya will spread to the Middle East. Right now Bahrain looks the most at risk from an uprising, but if events there escalate then we could see it spill over to oil-rich Saudi Arabia. The surge in oil prices in the last 24-hours is the first indicator of what havoc trouble in Saudi could wreak on t he wider global economy.

Up until recent days commodities and stocks were rising together while bond yields were falling. But now we've seen a major reversal. Stocks are lower, oil is higher and bond yields are also rising as investors fall into the safety of top –graded government debt. The decline in bond yields (10-year US Treasury yields are coming back to their prior range between 3.30% and 3.50%) is a reflection of the threat oil above $120 poses to the fragile global economic recovery.

This is best exemplified in the UK. Short-term Gilt yields that are most sensitive to interest rate expectations, actually moderated yesterday even though yesterday's Bank of England minutes suggested that the BOE took a step closer to a rate hike at their meeting earlier this month. This oil price wild card has totally shifted growth concerns for the UK economy. Can the UK manage an oil price shock, austerity cuts and an interest rate hike all at the same time? Probably not in our opinion. This has weighed on sterling, which is the worst performer out of the other G10 currencies. The dollar is also weak, while the euro is mixed-to-weak, as the bulk of long positions flow into the safe havens of the Swissie and the yen.

Right now the dollar has lost its status as safe haven. This is due to two reasons: firstly, the US economy is the world's largest consumer of oil, so a price shock would adversely affect US growth and, if this Middle East supply shock is sustained, could push the US back into recession. Secondly, the US's fiscal concerns are also coming to the fore as workers strike across Wisconsin at the prospect of harsh budget cuts. This shows us that reigning in the US's vast deficit will be a long, hard slog for the politicians brave enough to take it on.

Stocks are lower for a fifth day today, although the decline could be less severe than in prior sessions. There are some signals that investors are scaling back their risk off trades and talking a breather after getting a bit ahead of themselves. Although the trend is still lower, we may see some profit taking and risky assets claw back some losses. USDCHF seems to have found some support at 0.9250 for now after cracking to a new all-time low. Also, Brent has recouped some losses and is currently around the $113 per barrel level.

EURUSD is trading strongly after a 4-year high in Eurozone economic confidence for February. The pound is lower on the back of weaker yields, fuelled by fears about the oil price and CBI data on retail sales; it reported that sales fell sharply in February, which weighs on the growth outlook for the first quarter of 2011. EURGBP has popped above 0.8500, which heralds further gains towards 0.8600.

Risk aversion is the theme of the day and all else is taking a back seat

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International Mother Language Day To All

Analysis: Previous trading week started with a US dollar competitors’ weakness.
On Monday euro demonstrated sharp decrease against the competitors during the European trading sessions. Concerns over the Euro-zone budget crises reinforced. The 2-day meeting of the EC Ministers of Finance, which started on that day, might not result in a mutual agreement regarding target levels of reducing the country’s debt loads. In addition, according to the released information, chances of restructuring of the German state bank West LB AG were reducing, which rendered pressure on the euro as well. The Euro-zone Industrial production, published on Monday, turned out to be negative at the level of -0.1%, against the forecasts of 0.0% and previous month positive figure of 1.4%. As a result, the EUR/USD pair demonstrated minimums at $1,3426. The sterling demonstrated a decrease following the euro drop. The GBP/USD pair decreased to $1.5985 minimums.
By the end of the day the euro managed to rehabilitate and won back the previously lost positions. The EUR/USD grew to the levels of $1,3480. The pound managed to grow against the greenback during the American trading session as well. The GBP/USD reached the $1,6030 mark. Speculations regarding the possibility, that the Bank of England would increase the principal rate, reinforced.
On Tuesday the EUR/USD pair demonstrated growth up to the $1.3530 maximums during the Asian trading session. But the released Euro-zone fundamentals were diverse. German GDP data for the fourth quarter turned out to be below expectations. And the Euro-zone overall GDP for the same period was below forecasts as well. The German ZEW survey (Economic sentiment) for February was at the 15.7 level against the expected 20.0, which pressured the euro. But, at the same time, the German ZEW survey (Current situation) for February grew from the previous month and happened to be above forecasts: 85.2 against the 83.0, which rendered support to the euro. European session showed maximums of $1.3552 by EUR/USD pair.
Sterling demonstrated steady growth against its competitors due to the released strong British fundamentals on that day. UK Consumer price index turned out to be at the expected level of 4.0%. DCLG House prices were above forecasts too. And the Retail price indices were above expected level as well. Therefore, the GBP/USD pair reached the $1,6170 maximums. As a result, the speculations regarding possible increase of the principal interest rate reinforced.
According to the expectations, on Tuesday the Bank of Japan left the principal rate unchanged at the previous level of 0.10%. USD/JPY pair managed to grow to the Y83.80 mark.
Diverse US fundamentals were released during the American trading session. Eventually, the US dollar received support. Empire manufacturing index for February grew and hit 15.43 amid forecasts at 15.00 level. Net long-term TIC flows were above expectations. But advance retail sales dropped for 0.3% when the expectations were 0.5%.
On Wednesday the GBP/USD pair demonstrated maximums during the Asian trading session at the level of $1,6186. But later on the release of the negative UK fundamentals changed the trading dynamics. Nationwide Consumer confidence for January dropped to 47 against expected level of 50. Jobless claims increased for 2.4K when the indicator was forecasted to drop for 3.0K. Pound reacted with a sharp decrease. According to the publication of the Bank of England Inflation report, the inflation would likely remain high over this year. Following this report the GBP/USD pair dropped to minimums of $1,5985. The drop of the pound influenced the euro dynamics. The EUR/USD pair decreased to the $1.3459 mark.
The dollar price action was mixed on the same day. But the US fundamentals, which were released during the American session, changed the trading dynamics of the major currencies. Strong economic docket increased the demand for the risky assets, and the greenback turned out to be under pressure. The EUR/USD pair managed to rehabilitate and hit the $1,3587 maximums after the release of the Industrial production index, which turned out to be -0.1% against the forecasted 0.5%. The Federal release of the FOMC meeting, which was also in the market focus on Wednesday, did not have any relevant influence on the market.
Greenback was under pressure on Thursday. US dollar was not supported as a save-haven currency.
Political problems, which were spreading over the Middle East region, supported the growing demand for the save-haven assets. Iran confirmed that two warships were forwarded to the Mediterranean through the Suez Canal. As a result, the Japanese yen rate increased against its competitors. The USD/JPY pair traded around the maximum range of Y83.50 - Y83.70. Swiss frank received considerable support as a save-haven currency and reached two-week maximum.
Additional pressure on the US dollar was received from the released US fundamentals. The Initial jobless claims turned out to be elevated above the forecast and over the previous level as well: 410K against the expected 400K.
On Friday after the announcement of the ECB Board member, Lorenzo Bini Smagi, that the ECB would raise the principal rate due to the increasing pressure from the global inflation, the greenback competitors started to grow. The EUR/USD pair reached maximums of $1,3700, and the GBP/USD hit the $1,6250 level.


Trade: Because of Low volatility today I can only make +120 pips today.. Lets hope for the best in this week...

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Summary Of 18-02-2011


Analysis: The EURUSD still able to maintain its bullish intraday bias so far and now struggling around the trend line resistance as you can see on my h1 chart. The bias remains bullish in nearest term but would need a convincing move above the trend line resistance and a clear break above 1.3650 (50% Fibo retracement of 1.3860 - 1.3427) to continue the bullish scenario targeting 1.3743 before testing 1.3800 – 1.3860 key resistance area. Immediate support at 1.3540. A failure to make a clear break above the trend line resistance and a consistent move below 1.3540 would change the intraday bias to bearish testing 1.3470 - 1.3420 key support area.

The talk earlier this morning in Asia was that a bank had mis-keyed the amount it was borrowing at the main refinancing operations (MRO) and as it’s a 1-week settlement, we may not know for sure until next week.

Strange that the ECB refuses to comment but with the EUR/USD bouncing back off its earlier 1.3574 lows, it would seem that the market is of the view that we’re dealing with an out-trade rather than a bank in trouble.


Trade: Just some little pips..No Big trade... Still managed to earn more than +100 pips..and thats all I need...

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Best Trading Day Ever!!!

Yup you heard Right.... I dont know how much pips I made today... Its uncountable... This is the best trading day for me... DO I NEED TO APPLY FOR Guinness World Record!!!!@





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Summary Of 16-02-2011

Analysis: Expectations are growing stronger for an economic rebound with regards to US industrial production and EU consumer confidence which is increasing support for high-yielding currencies thus weakening the Dollar and the Yen against majority currencies. GBPUSD gained for a third day to highs of 1.6167 as BOE releases inflation report stating that consumer prices will rise at a faster pace which could signal a hike in interest rates sooner than expected, EURUSD climbed to high of 1.3539 and EURJPY to high of 113.38 on optimism that tomorrow’s EU consumer confidence would show recovery, USDJPY moved to a high at 83.84 and AUDUSD gained from a two week low trading at 0.9985 as Asian markets gained..

The US industrial production probably gained 0.5% (prev. 0.8%) rising for a third month according to data to be released today while tomorrow’s EU consumer confidence improved to -11 (prev. -11.2) due out tomorrow. BOE Governor King is due to speak today on the outlook for inflation and economic growth when the BOE publishes the inflation outlook report after yesterday’s inflation data showed increase to 4% which could add pressure to increase rates.


Trade: After a BANG yesterday.. Today is at least not bad.. I thought that I would not trade today.. But it looks like I am addicted in Forex!!! So total +125 pips today!!!


Trade: Just little +200 pips in your service...

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Summary Of 15-02-2011


Analysis: EUR/USD had weakened overnight on talk that the German bank West LB might again be in some strife but these fears lessened and were pretty much abated by the time Asia stepped in. We have seen a slow continuation of the rally which started at 1.3430 in NY with the pair trading to 1.3528 after closing in NY at 1.3485. Ranges: 1.3478/1.3528


The EURUSD attempted to push lower yesterday, bottomed at 1.3427 but closed higher at 1.3488 and back above 1.3500 earlier today in Asian session. The bias is bullish in nearest term testing 1.3570 but as long as price moves below the trend line resistance we are still in a bearish phase after the false breakout above 1.3800 and I still prefer a bearish scenario. Break above 1.3570 could trigger further bullish pullback testing 1.3669 and the trend line resistance. On the downside, immediate support at 1.3470. Break below that area could trigger further bearish pressure re-testing 1.3420 support area. A clear break below 1.3420 would give us further validation to the bearish continuation scenario targeting 1.3250 this week.

Trade: Nice Start..Looks Like EUR/USD going down... Total +63pips


Trade: More More And More...+66 pips and another +17... Dont know how much in total.. Picture abhi baki hai mere dost!!!



Trade: I lost count.. Another +24+14+13+15....I think Its time to stop now...This is my whole trading result for today...Look Nice Right!!!!!!!

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Summary Of 14-02-2011


Analysis: The week started with a small forex gap to the downside and the currency pair fought hard to regain the 1.36 line. When the EUR/USD succeeded in regaining the 1.36 line, it settled into a tight range of 1.36-1.3680 until midweek. This was probably due to the mixed economic data being released. Of interesting fact was the interest rate hike by China which apparently caused little commotion in the markets. This suggests that the markets are probably indifferent by now towards China's frequent moves to curb market speculative growth.
A bullish momentum developed around mid week and it went on to hit the 1.3715 region. Having said so, the momentum soon weakened and the EUR/USD came crashing down back to the 1.36 region for a close of the trading week.
***
With the resignation of Egyptian's President, risk averse investors with regards to the economic and oil disruption problems are probably relieved. Risk seeking activities will probably increase as positivity returns. This is reflected in the equities markets, specially in the US where merger & acquisitions and retail activities add on to the positive sentiments.
Mr Bernanke of the US Federal Reserve mentioned earlier this week that the economic recovery has strengthened. Having said so, he believes that unemployment will remain high for some time. Many investors speculate that this may be an indication that the Federal Reserve will continue to support the economy through measures such as quantitative easing.
Over in the Euro Zone, concerns regarding a successor for Mr Trichet as the president of the European Central Bank and speculations regarding Portugal’s high 10 years bond yields are plaguing the single currency's outlook. An union of countries with different cultures and economic characteristics will definitely be a challenge.


Trade: Total +134 pips today... It looks like I am on a wrong turn today??? I trade on the wrong side.. Total trend is Bearish but I longed EUR/USD... whatever, profit is profit..But I should work on this...


Trade: Here some more pips... maybe +57... so my total pips is +191... I think its a good start for this week.. Sorry I forget.. Happy Valentines Day to all..

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Summary of 08-02-2011

Only +325 pips today... See you tomorrow..!!!


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